Have you ever read Bill Joy’s ”Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us”, Wired Issue 4.08 (April 2000)? Well, you should! It’s an interesting look at the potential impact of technology on humans, now and into the future. Well, after reading it, I felt like I needed to put my two cents in. So here it is, agree or disagree. Comments are welcome..
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Since the time that human beings first appeared on earth, we have been on a never-ending quest for knowledge. Granted, in the beginning when the epistemological view of our world was small, knowledge was limited to the experiences acquired in a day’s nomadic journey; relevant knowledge pertained to what could be manipulated within our immediate surroundings. During that period of time, survival of the fittest was not limited to those who carried the biggest club, but also included those human beings who possessed traits enabling them to defend themselves against the hardships of life (e.g., intelligence, innovation, etc.). Even at this evolutionary stage, knowledge empowered us to find technological solutions to what ailed us and to make life easier for us to endure. As a result, this knowledge and the technology that resulted as a product of this knowledge, allowed us to survive.
Bill Joy, chief scientist and co-founder of Sun Microsystems, has strong opinions regarding this issue. If he were alive during that period, he would have warned us even then, that we were living in unprecedented times presented with the opportunity to influence future events in a dramatic and never seen before way. He would have argued that, even at this early stage of human history, the technologies of the period be used with the greatest trepidation and treated with the greatest of care. It would have been reasoned that, for example, a volatile technology such as fire, had the potential to extinguish our small species from the face of the earth. In Joy’s article entitled “Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us”, published in Wired Magazine in April 2000, he expresses his views on the battle between technological advancement and stagnant existence and insists the optimal solution for humanity is to relinquish potentially disastrous technologies before it harms our society.
The Killjoy
In my opinion, Bill Joy, as the pioneer of such revolutionary technologies as the Internet, should know better. Given his impressive success at furthering our current knowledge, some 790,000 years after fire was initially used as a technology (Goren-Inbar, 2004), you would think he would comprehend how technology is poised to benefit our collective selves by alleviating toil and human suffering, in turn, making our lives easier to live. Rather, he chooses to sound the alarm bell on technology’s shortcomings.
Joy’s concern grew out of an impromptu discussion he had with two of science’s current stars, Ray Kurzweil, inventor of speech recognition software and champion of artificial intelligence, and John Searle, philosopher of mind and consciousness. Kurzweil’s concern regarding the rapid rate of technological advancement and the inevitability of a robot/human existence (Joy, 2000) coupled with Searle’s opposing argument purporting that this situation would never realistically occur as Robots cannot exist within the realm of consciousness (Joy, 2000) caused Joy to re-evaluate his understanding of current technologies and the ethics surrounding them.
Essentially, Joy is distressed that we are at an ethical crossroads with respect to the use of current technologies. He believes that, “we have yet to come to terms with the fact that the most compelling 21st-century technologies – robotics, genetic engineering, and nanotechnology – pose a different threat than the technologies that have come before” and that with each of these technologies, “small, individually sensible advances leads to an accumulation of great power and, concomitantly, great danger” (Joy, 2000). The crux of Joy’s concerns surrounds what he perceived as three main threats to humanity: Genetic Engineering, Nanotechnology, and Robotics (GNR). Joy claims that these three technologies are “so powerful that they can spawn whole new classes of accidents and abuses” (Joy, 2000). The use of GNRs, coupled with, what he has coined “knowledge-enabled mass destruction” (KMD), namely knowledge-enabled weapon technology, poses grave consequences to human existence. Due to the rapid dissemination of information about how to construct these technologies, the “accidents and abuses” that result from the proliferation of GNRs, will allow individuals and small groups worldwide to use GNRs in malicious ways, without the need of large government controlled facilities or rare, raw materials (Joy, 2000) as it has been in the past, for example, with nuclear, biological, and chemical weaponry. KMDs and GNRs together with the potential for GNRs to self-replicate, something never seen before in other technologies (Joy, 2000), caused Joy to declare that the “only realistic alternative…is relinquishment: to limit technologies that are too dangerous, by limiting our pursuit of certain kinds of knowledge” (Joy, 2000) and thus recommends the halt of research on these technologies while we re-evaluate our ethical dilemma.
Our Ethical Dilemma
In terms of our current place in history, Joy is correct to assume that we need a new governing ethics unique from any previously explored. However, in using this as an argument for the relinquishment of knowledge, he overestimates the potential negative consequences resulting from technological research by today’s standards. The proposal of an “ethics of responsibility” (Jonas, 1973) that Joy believes has never previously existed, detracts from the urgency of his argument and lessens the impact of his suggestion that in order to accommodate this new ethics we must relinquish the pursuit of all technologies that pose a potential threat because we are in a different realm of ethics, previously unseen.
In 1973, German-born philosopher Hans Jonas wrote an essay entitled “Technology and Responsibility: Reflections on the New Task of Ethics” that examined technology’s impact on that era asserting that we need to look through the “lens of a new kinds of ethics” (Winston & Edelbach, 2006). The essence of Jonas’ argument is that “the old prescription of neighbour ethics – of justice, charity, honesty and so on” (Jonas, 1973) still holds its importance in our immediate social circles, but that this ethics no longer strictly applies, and thus needs to be expanded to include our impact on the whole planet and its biosphere (Jonas, 1973). This new view on ethics strays from the anthropocentric view of the past in one vastly different way: through the understanding of our responsibility for the repercussions on future generations by way of our current technologies. Jonas (1973) suggests that “to seek for wisdom today requires a good measure of unwisdom”, and suggests that ethics needs to be examined and implemented in step with the creation and implementation of current technologies on a technology-by-technology basis. “It is only under the pressure of real habits of action…that ethics as the ruling of such acting under the standard of the good or the permitted enters the stage” (Jonas, 1973). Otherwise, to “foresee and forestall” as Joy sees it, is reactionary and is unfortunately counter-productive to innovation and progress.
The Perils of Relinquishment
At its root, Joy’s solution to this ethical dilemma is to relinquish the pursuit of certain types of knowledge that might facilitate technologies that pose a threat to humanity. At first glance, relinquishment, as a solution, is inherently troublesome and loaded with ambiguity. Albeit, many questions come to mind on how to effectuate relinquishment, but two in particular are worth investigating. Namely, can we afford to give up technologies that have the potential for negative consequences at the expense of those that might just as easily offer positive solutions to humanity, such as those that cure diseases, solve environmental problems, or even enable other beneficial technologies? Moreover, how do we prohibit research into these technologies in one country and ensure that it will not occur in another without our knowledge?
Unintended Consequences
Any new technology must be considered with reference to unanticipated or undesired consequences. Healy (2006) categorizes these consequences as being in one of two categories, namely: a) anticipated consequences being intended or desired, not desired but common or probable, or not desired and improbable, or b) unanticipated consequences being desirable or undesirable. Any new technology cannot be considered to have developed from scratch, rather it is based on a few, if not hundreds, of other technologies. To understand its ramifications, we must measure each one according to its impact as it relates to either of Healy’s two categories. As well, where will the line be drawn to demarcate the impact of one particular technology over another that is invented down the line? Dorner (as cited in Healy, 2006) outlines four features that make this endeavour essentially impossible: complexity, dynamics, intransparence, and ignorance or mistaken hypotheses. For our purposes, complexity refers to a technology that is the result of many other technologies, dynamics is the likelihood of a technology changing its negative or positive action (state) spontaneously without outside interference, intransparence is the notion that all of the elements of a technology can be seen at all times, and ignorance or mistaken hypotheses is the real possibility that we have perceived the result of our technology to have an entirely different outcome (Healy, 2006).
A good example of such a technology is Thomas Edison’s incandescent light bulb. It is well documented that the incandescent light bulb was based on previous existing technologies such as the arc lamp and necessitated by electricity (Cross & Szostack, 2005). The light bulb in turn determined the nature of other new components needed in the electrical system to accommodate it, such as generators that produced a small current of high voltage, junction boxes, switches, and meters (Cross & Szostack, 2005). The creation and success of these inventions enabled Edison to eventually develop the radio and X-Ray technology among other things (Cross & Szostack, 2005). All of these inventions had unintended desired and undesired consequences that have had impacts on today’s technologies. The question is, would it have been possible to foresee each consequence at the time they were invented? Even in hindsight, it is difficult to predict whether it would have been worth relinquishing or even limiting research in any one of these technologies given the potential for them to provide positive solutions to society’s problems.
The Prohibition Pitfall
Another problem with Joy’s relinquishment solution is the suggestion that prohibition can be successful in all cases. Prohibition at its core, poses certain problems inherent in its principles. First, there is the larger danger that restricting research of certain technologies to governmental institutions might place the technology in the hands of a very few number of “elite” and “select” private scientists or academics. Edward Teller, the “father of the hydrogen bomb” saw this type of restriction or limitation as “harmful to the US in a fundamental way. It lessened the key American advantage of broad, free discussion and criticism while it assisted closed societies” (Brown & May, 2004). Teller specifically put the blame for the advances the Soviets made in bomb building during his time squarely on the shoulders of the impact of the US legislated technological prohibition and the shroud of secrecy it accrued (Brown & May, 2004). As a result, he insisted that technologies be developed in open societies where information could be distributed and shared among researchers, and that by doing so, technology would develop quickly and to its safest potential.
The second problem with prohibition is that regulatory bodies, put in place to enforce prohibition of certain types of technologies, could actually increase research into the prohibited technology. Indeed, as prohibition has demonstrated in the past “the more intense the law enforcement, the more potent the prohibited substance becomes” (Cowan, 1986). This contradicts Joy’s argument that by relinquishing research into certain technologies, we would be able to ultimately stop the potential for it to have negative results. One could argue that it would surely amplify underground research into the very technology we are trying to suppress, which might result in an unsafe and unknown by-product of the original technology; leaving us unprepared to deal with the final outcome. Ray Kurzweil points out that “abandonment of broad areas of technology will only push these technologies underground where development would continue unimpeded by ethics or regulation” (Kurzweil, 2000).
A Better Way
Given that Kurzweil instigated Joy’s newly found insight, it is interesting to note that one of the solutions to Joy’s crisis comes from Kurzweil himself. That is the idea of what he calls a “fine-grained” relinquishment (Kurzweil, 2000). “Fine-grained” relinquishment regards precisely measured limitations of certain types of technological research by regulatory bodies, decided upon a technology-by-technology basis. It is however, imperative to ensure that regulation is not motivated by economic gain alone; it should be developed in conjunction with a new ethical framework, as Jonas (1973) suggests, one that adapts with the changing times. Only this type of approach would allow for technology’s positive influence on human life while at the same time maintaining a permissible degree of safety. “Fine-grained” relinquishment will ensure that we move forward into the future with the peace of mind that comes with empowered knowledge that will allow us to use technology to its fullest advantage; although, this will only occur if scientists and engineers adopt a strong code of ethical conduct (Joy, 2000) and allow their work to be managed by regulatory bodies (Kurzweil, 2000). “Fine-grained” relinquishment also ensures that limitations over certain types of knowledge and technology, do not slow research in other technological areas and, as Edward Teller describes, allows for “broad, free discussion and criticism” of each technology. This will in turn allow us to evaluate a new ethical framework to evaluate a newer technology and enable new research, and so on. Only once this cyclical feedback between areas of science, society and government exist, will we able to make educated decisions and take calculated risks, with the more than likely outcome of a better and more peaceful world for all of us. One that even Bill Joy would be happy to live in.
Derek Harnanansingh
derek[at]arietis-software.com
REFERENCES
Brown, H. & May, M. (2004). Edward Teller in the Public Arena. Physics Today 57, 8, 51-53
Cowan, R. (1986). How the Narcs Created Crack; a War Against Ourselves, National Review 38, 26-31.
Cross, G & Szostack, R. (2005). Technology and American Society, A History, 2nd Ed. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall.
Goren-Inbar, N., Alperson, N., Kislev, M. E., Simchoni, O., Melamed, Y., Ben-Nun, A. & Werker, E. (2004). Evidence of Hominin Control of Fire at Gesher Benot Ya’acov, Israel. Science 304, 725-727.
Healy, T (2000). The Unanticipated Consequences of Technology , Retrieved Dec 5, 2006, from Markkula Center for Applied Ethics: http://ww.scu.edu/ethics/publications/submitted/healy/consequences.html
Jonas, H. (1974). Technology and Responsibility: Reflections on the New Task of Ethics. In Winston, M.E. & Edelbach, R.D. (Eds.), Society, Ethics, and Technology, 119-130. Canada: Thomas-Wadsworth.
Joy, B. (2006). Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us. In Winston, M.E. & Edelbach, R.D. (Eds.), Society, Ethics, and Technology, 216-233. Canada: Thomas-Wadsworth.
Kurzweil, R. (2000). Promise and Peril. In Winston, M.E. & Edelbach, R.D. (Eds.), Society, Ethics, and Technology, 233-238. Canada: Thomas-Wadsworth.
Winston, M.E & Edelbach, R. D. (2006). Society, Ethics, and Technology, Canada: Thomas-Wadsworth, pp 393.
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